Country Panic (LWR)

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In General

Each country has a panic value (represented by five bars, each bar equal to 20 panic). This panic value indicates how unstable each country is. Having high panic makes it easier for the aliens to mount denser abduction missions and makes it more likely for the country to leave the Council at the end of each month.

Some events will increase panic in a country, some will increase panic across a continent, and a few will increase panic worldwide. These effects all stack. For example: if an event caused 1 panic in a country, 1 panic across a continent that contained that country, and 1 panic worldwide; the country would actually gain 3 panic total, other countries in the continent would gain 2 panic total, and the remaining countries in the world would gain 1 panic.

To stop panic from snowballing out of control, panic is reduced at the beginning of each month based on how many countries have defected. The (lame) explanation of this is that the aliens get lax when they've taken over more countries.

Increasing Country Panic

All increases in panic are increased by 10% per month passed (and are modified by Campaign Length).

Country Defense has an x% chance to reduce any increases in panic by half, where x is half of the country defense.

Your Home Country reduces any increase in panic by 5% for each country in the XCOM project.

Note that both of the aforementioned reductions in panic truncate the results; so 1 panic will be reduced to 0 if either (or both) effects trigger.

Airborne:

All UFOs +2 in country Chance reduced by any damage taken, down to 0 at 50% damage

Crashed or Landed UFO Escapes +4 in country

Bomb Missions +10 in country Reduced by any damage taken, down to 0 at 50% damage

Failed Missions:

Abduction Failure +14 in country [+4 if country panic was 21-40] [+8 if country panic was 0-20] +4 across continent

Terror Site Failure Country suffering from the terror mission leaves immediately

Council Mission Failure +15 in country +5 across continent

Unstopped Research or Harvest Mission +1 in country per month passed

Covert Operation or Data Recovery Failure +4 in country

Exalt Base Raid Failure Propaganda in random country Exalt Base Country leaves +80 across continent if country left

Other:

Every 3 hours an abduction/landed UFO is active 25% chance of +4 in country

Terror Site Finished +30 in country +8 across continent

Landed UFO Survives +1 in country per month passed

Losing a Satellite +12 in country +8 across continent

Exalt Propaganda +40 in country

Exalt False Accusation Country of Exalt Base leaves immediately +80 across continent if country already left Council

Start of Each Month +1 in world per month passed and -1 in world per defected country

Decreasing Country Panic

Airborne:

Shooting down a UFO -2 in country

Combat Patrol variable amount across continent ** Note: Combat Patrols are one of XCOM's most effective methods for managing panic **

Satellites:

Launching a satellite -3 in country

Start of month satellite coverage 50% chance of -4 in country if panic is 80-100 10% chance of -2 in country if panic is 50-79

Mission Completions:

Thwarting an abduction -4 in country -2 across continent	Terror Site -2 in country per civilian saved -0.6 across continent per civilian saved	Council mission/request reward Variable	Raiding a UFO -2 in country
Completing a covert operation -4 in country	Raiding Exalt Base -10 worldwide	Raiding an Alien Base -20 in country -10 across continent

Country Defection

At the end of each day, a country may leave the Council if their panic is in the last bar (80 or higher panic with a red color). Note that aliens can run an infiltration mission to cause a country to leave immediately regardless of panic.

• Defection Chance: 0.25% for each panic above 79

Any country with 100 panic at the end of the day automatically defects.

If a country has a satellite the chance to defect is reduced by half. If a country does not have a satellite but the continent does, the chance to defect is reduced by a quarter.

Example:

A country with 80 panic and with a satellite will have a 0.125% chance to leave each day for an ~4% chance to leave over a period of 30 days
A country with 90 panic and no satellite will have a 2.75% chance to leave each day for an ~57% chance to leave over a period of 30 days